1 Probability models
2 Conditional probability models
3 Likelihood
4 Consecutive follow-up intervals
5 Rates
6 Time
7 Competing risks and selection
8 The Gaussian probability model
9 Approximate likelihoods
10 Likelihood, probability, and confidence
11 Null hypotheses and p-values
12 Small studies
13 Likelihoods for the rate ratio
14 Confounding and standardization
15 Comparison of rates within strata
16 Case-control studies
17 Likelihoods for the odds ratio
18 Comparison of odds within strata
19 Individually matched case-control studies
20 Tests for trend
21 The size of investigations

II. Regression Models

22 Introduction to regression models
23 Poission and logistic regression
24 Testing hypotheses
25 Models for dose-response
26 More about interaction
27 Choice and interpretation of models
28 Additivity and synergism
29 Conditional logistic regression
30 Cox's regression analysis
31 Time-varying explanatory variables
32 Three examples
33 Nested case-control studies
34 Gaussian regression models
35 Postscript

III. Appendices

A. Exponentials

B. Some basic calculus

C. Approximate profile likelihoods

D. Table of the Chi-squared distribution

Index